Eight months into the Israel-Hamas war, a majority is still in favour of Israel – but this is less than at the start of the conflict, as is also less support for sending financial aid to Israel. israeli government For your army.
This information has been received from the latest survey of Fox News released on Wednesday.
Voters are twice as likely to support Israelis (57%) as Palestinians (29%). That sentiment has remained the same over the past several months, but nowhere near the 50-point Israeli lead at the start of the war (68% to 18% in October 2023).
Declines in support for Israelis are seen across the board, but the main driving forces are voters 65 and older (-18 points), Democrats (-17), black voters (-15) and women (-12).
Voters are also now less likely to favor sending financial aid to the Israeli government to support their military. More than half – 52% – favor sending money, down 8 points from November 2023 when 60% favored sending funds.
The decline is also broad, but most notable among moderate voters (-14 points), Democrats (-12), independents (-11), voters with college degrees (-10), and suburban voters (-10).
Overall, 44% oppose sending financial aid to the Israeli military.
The Israel-Hamas War, President Biden and the 2024 Presidential Election
In a list of 10 issues, Middle East On the issue of conflict, about 3 in 10 said the war would be “extremely” important to their vote this November (32%). That’s well below top issues like the future of American democracy (68%) and the economy (66%).
Those who say this conflict is extremely important to their vote prefer Trump by 14 points in a face-to-face ballot and are more likely to trust Trump From Biden To handle the conflict, 20 points.
The gap is much smaller among overall voters: 49% of voters are confident Trump will handle the war, while 45% are confident Biden will handle the war.
“Despite being a low-level issue, the Middle Eastern conflict is extremely important to a narrow constituency and could be consequential in a tight race,” says Democratic pollster Chris Anderson, who conducts Fox News surveys with Republican Daron Shaw. “Sometimes, a candidate or party’s advantage on a group of lower-level issues can negate disadvantages on the biggest issues, which is why Democrats did better than expected in the 2022 midterm elections.”
For the first time since August 2023, President Biden beat former President Trump in a hypothetical contest, earning 50% support while Trump had 48%. It’s the same story, but with a 1-point lead in a five-way race: 43% Biden, 42% Trump, 10% Robert F. Kennedy Jr., 2% Cornel West and 2% Jill Stein.
In a two-way contest, those who favor the Israelis go for Trump by 29 points, while those who favor the Palestinians go for Biden by a whopping 54 points.
By a 31-point margin, Biden’s handling of the Israel-Hamas war is disliked by more voters than 63% of voters (32%). Majorities among Republicans (85%) and independents (60%) disapprove of his handling of the war, as do about 4 in 10 Democrats (41%).
His ratings improved slightly, but still remain low on immigration (-28 points), inflation (-25 points) and the economy (-17 points).
“There’s been a lot of talk on the left about discontent with the president’s handling of the Israel-Hamas conflict,” Shaw says. “Whatever their concerns are, they’re not going to hurt Biden in the ballot test. I think the real danger is that the ongoing conflict in the Middle East and Ukraine fuels a widespread perception that Biden hasn’t delivered the kind of stability and normalcy he promised.”
Regarding his overall job performance, 45% approve of Biden’s job performance while 55% disapprove, which is the same as last month.
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This Fox News survey, conducted June 14-17, 2024, under the joint direction of Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R), includes interviews with a sample of 1,095 registered voters randomly selected from the national voter file. Respondents spoke with live interviewers on landlines (130) and cellphones (700) or completed the survey online after receiving a text (265). Results based on the full sample have a margin of sampling error of ± 3 percentage points. The sampling error associated with subgroup results is higher. In addition to sampling error, question wording and order can affect results. Weights are typically applied to age, race, education, and region variables to ensure that respondents’ demographics represent the registered voter population.
