Sri Lanka
Percentage points: 55.56, Remaining series: South Africa (two Tests at home), Australia (two Tests at home)
With a full 24 points from their last two Test matches, Sri Lanka have made a strong move towards a top-two finish in this WTC cycle. Their remaining four Tests are against two opponents who are also final contenders. If they win each of those matches and take home 48 more points (keep in mind that over-rate deductions are always a threat), they will finish on 69.23% and book their place in the finals regardless of other results. will that do. If they lose one and win three, their score will drop to 61.54, leaving them with a chance of qualifying depending on other results.
India
Percentage points: 74.24, series remaining: New Zealand (three home), Australia (five away)
If India gets less than 56 points then there is a possibility of them not being in the top two. For example, if they win four and draw one (52 points), it is possible for Australia and South Africa to overtake them.
Sri Lanka can also finish with more than 67%, but victory for them will come at the cost of points from both Australia and South Africa. This will work in India’s favor as both Australia and South Africa can finish below India.
bangladesh
Percentage points: 34.38, Series remaining: West Indies (two away), SA (two home)
Bangladesh have been badly hurt by two defeats in India – falling from 45.83% to 34.38. Even if they win each of their remaining four Tests, they will still only improve to 56.25. Even this is unlikely to be enough to make the top two.
new zealand
Percentage points: 37.50, series remaining: India (three away), England (three at home)
Australia
Percentage points: 62.50, Series remaining: India (five home), SL (two away)
Currently second with 62.5%, Australia can finish at a maximum of 76.32 if they win each of their remaining seven Tests. The two teams against whom they play their remaining series, India and Sri Lanka, are also favorites for the final, so a win against them will doubly help Australia. Five wins will take their percentage to 65.79, but India and South Africa can still overtake them. However, things will become clearer by the time the series against India begins, as the visitors will have finished their three home Tests against New Zealand.
South Africa
Percentage points: 38.89, Remaining series: SL (two home), Pak (two home), BAN (two away)
If South Africa win each of their remaining six Tests they will finish with 69.44%, which will certainly be enough to qualify, as only one of India or Australia can go beyond that number. Five wins and a draw would take their score to 63.89, which would still keep them in contention, while five wins and a loss would see their percentage drop slightly to 61.11, which would keep them in contention even if other results go their way. Will get a chance.
England
Percentage points: 42.19, Series remaining: Pak (three away), New Zealand (three away)
Pakistan
Percentage points: 19.05, series remaining: England (three home), SA (two away), West Indies (two home)
west indies
Percentage: 18.52, Series remaining: Ban (two home), Pak (two away)
West Indies have already played four series and have scored only 20 points out of 108. Even if they win their last four Tests, they can only finish at 43.59%.
S Rajesh is the statistics editor of ESPNcricinfo. @rajeshstats
